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According to most economists in a Reuters poll, the Fed will end its tightening cycle after a 25 basis point hike at each of its next two policy meetings, and then likely hold interest rates steady for at least the rest of the year.
Source: https://business.inquirer.net/383201/oil-prices-climb-on-hopes-for-fed-slowing-interest-rate-hikes
After its meeting on Thursday, the bank reaffirmed its pledge, stating, “Given the monetary tightening stance, the Committee is determined to establish the disinflation course.”
Source: https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2023/09/turkeys-central-bank-hikes-interest-rates-30
Although lending standards have been tightening, they are not at extremes, and solvent borrowers continue to have access to capital.
And a sustained tightening in this reading has historically been a reliable indicator of an existing or pending economic recession.
Source: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4603737-when-the-levee-breaks?source=feed_all_articles
And certainly, in the current environment, when -- I don't know if you want to say it's just budget flush or just more tightening of budgets, the need or the desire to co-term the contract is a little bit less than what we've seen historically.
And the bigger and increasingly vulnerable a Bubble becomes, the more cautious central bankers will be with tightening measures.
And the US economy is likely to moderate from here as excess savings are depleted and the lagged effects of monetary policy tightening materialize.
Aside from the CBN currency redesign, other issues that triggered Naira depreciation include US monetary policy tightening that strengthened the US dollar and the proliferation of political activities with the US dollar.
Source: https://businessday.ng/news/article/naira-loses-0-67-against-dollar-as-trading-week-ends/
As we know, tightening financial conditions lead to wider spreads and higher implied volatility, and it will end the stock market rally.
“A tightening of rules changed the picture,” he said.
Australia’s labour market has been surprisingly robust in the face of the central bank’s aggressive tightening, but cracks have finally appeared.
Source: https://www.marketpulse.com/news-events/central-banks/australian-dollar-extends-losses-4/kfisher
BENGALURU, Aug 23 - India stocks will trade only modestly higher at year-end, according to a Reuters poll of equity analysts who said a correction was likely before then, citing tightening global financial conditions as a risk.
BoJ governor Kazuo Ueda, for his part, has warned against rushing into tightening.
Source: https://www.etftrends.com/model-portfolio-channel/japan-etfs-hype-bull-vs-bear/
Bonds are now on course to narrowly avert a third consecutive annual loss after the economy started to fade and the Fed stopped tightening.
But I am very glad that we stayed clear-eyed in the past – we’re still going to be tightening our belts, but we’ve avoided catastrophe by keeping our dreams a little smaller, as sad as that can sometimes feel.
But most Latin American countries have relatively little debt in comparison, they are further into their credit tightening cycles, and they actually benefit from the higher commodity prices.
“But rising energy prices, resuming student loan payments, higher borrowing costs, and tightening lending standards, and a drawdown in excess savings, mean that household budgets are still under pressure.”
But there were signs in the February report that extreme tightening of the job market may be easing.
Source: https://www.mariontoday.org/us-jobs-report-for-february-live-updates/
But with Inverness Caledonian Thistle and the prospect of the treble awaiting at Hampden on Saturday, some tightening up was required.
But with restrictions finally tightening on the Kremlin’s chief moneymaker -- oil -- the months ahead will be an even tougher test of President Vladimir Putin’s fortress economy.