Rates would be cut as the Fed grows more confident that we will see 2% inflation next year, but the labor marke will also continue to soften, so it needs to go from a restrictive policy to a neutral policy to offset any increase in unemployment.

Source: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4654169-here-is-what-history-says-about-the-next-six-months?source=feed_all_articles