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Add to those figures the estimated to lose their jobs because the Federal Reserve’s continuing interest-rate hikes mean small and large companies can’t afford to expand operations, nor are startups able to raise capital.
And owning a mix of short- and long-term bonds can help you defend yourself somewhat against interest-rate movements.
Source: https://www.journal-advocate.com/2023/08/29/financial-focus-should-you-invest-or-speculate/
Beijing needs lower interest rates, rather than widening interest-rate differentials.
Core inflation in the eurozone hit a record in March, a setback for central bankers whose rapid interest-rate rises have exacerbated financial sector strains and caused pains in part of the bloc’s economy.
Expectations have largely been shifting between the Fed delivering another quarter-point interest-rate hike or taking a pause in its yearlong effort to raise rates and reduce inflation.
Had we pursued that, especially in energy, the Fed could have pursued a more leisurely return to historic interest-rate levels and curtailed inflation with much less damage to the banking system.
Source: https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2023/03/24/contagion-is-deutsche-bank-next-to-fall-n539008
November 9 – Wall Street Journal (Nick Timiraos): “Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated the central bank wouldn’t declare an end to its historic interest-rate increases until it had more evidence that inflation was cooling.
Now we are clearly seeing the sectors of the economy that are interest-rate sensitive slowing down, particularly the housing market.
Source: https://wtop.com/europe/2023/04/insider-qa-benn-steil-of-the-council-on-foreign-relations/
Slowing inflation and stable monetary policy should reduce interest-rate volatility, and lower volatility typically favors higher-yielding assets.
“So really, we’re really looking at the interest-rate environment that’s driving that specific trend.”
Source: https://thewestsidegazette.com/florida-jobless-rate-holds-steady/
That may mean extending an historic series of ECB interest-rate hikes with at least two more half-point steps early this year.
Source: https://www.irishexaminer.com/business/economy/arid-41040404.html
The mortgage marketplace is vulnerable to self-reinforcing deleveraging and interest-rate hedging-related selling.
The results of the management's interest-rate sensitivity analysis given in the show that a 200-basis points hike in interest rates could boost earnings by 6.8% over twelve months.
Treasury yields edged higher on uncertainty around the U.S. interest-rate trajectory through the year-end, pressuring some major growth names including Nvidia and Tesla, down 3.1% and 3.8%, respectively.
Under the pressure of an uncertain stock market and banking system—and the Federal Reserve’s relentless interest-rate increases to try to tame inflation—it has been harder than ever for stock-picking fund managers to grind out gains.
Waning global enthusiasm for aggressive interest-rate increases may dominate the dozen or so central-bank decisions due in the coming week.
With the Federal Reserve expected to be at the end of its interest-rate hiking cycle, investors are reassessing the fixed-income market—and looking to high-quality bonds with intermediate maturities as the best bet for stable income.