I think the market is soft and it’s really a two horse race.

Source: https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2023/02/27/report-derek-carr-will-meet-with-a-handful-of-teams-this-week-in-indianapolis/

Preakness Stakes entrant First Mission works out ahead of the 148th running of the Preakness Stakes horse race at Pimlico Race Course, Thursday, May 18, 2023, in Baltimore.

Source: https://www.gjsentinel.com/sports/professional/first-mission-scratched-from-preakness-by-vet-36-hours-before-triple-crown-race/article_02a47458-1341-573b-a922-87e4f1fc572b.html

Second, there’s the horse race itself.

Source: https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/dont-watch-belmont-stakes-horse-race-matter-rcna88596

This reminds me of the movie The Sting where the horse race was delayed in being announced so Newman and Redford could swindle Robert Shaw.

Source: https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2023/04/12/sunday-ticket-on-youtube-tv-raises-latency-questions/