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That amount could be less depending on how much water the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation spreads among upstream reservoirs.
Source: https://ktar.com/story/5493855/much-of-west-out-of-drought-in-short-term-long-road-ahead-remains/
The Bureau of Reclamation did not reply to a request for comment on the models prepared by Bartles, but the Army Corps confirmed that the organization had been briefed on them.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/22/magazine/california-dams.html